US government has a big problem that they have to solve before June 1st they cannot avoid this problem. They have to somehow solve it and that too before June 1st and what is that problem? It is related to the U.S economy. United States is going to default on its debt at the end of this month if the U.S government fails to reach a new agreement. What do I mean by all of this let me explain in the simplest way possible. We all know that every country in this world has National Debt also known as Public Debt.
“It is the total amount of money that a
government owes to its creditors including individual institutions and foreign
governments a country's national debt represents the accumulated borrowing over
time to finance government expenditures that exceed revenue generated through
taxes and other sources.”
So,
every country in this world has some national debt but the United States of
America has the highest national debt which is currently that is in 2023 is
around $31.46 trillion. We can say that all the development that we see
in United States is largely because of its debt because debt has played an
important role in United States growth and development debt has been used by
the US government to finance infrastructure projects fund Public Services
support economic stimulus measures and invest in Education and Research and
there are plenty of other things now this statement is true for every country
it is not limited to United States but then this blog is about United States so
I'm telling this in context of United States therefore, it is very important
for any country to assess its policies with respect to development and debt
because the fact of the matter is everybody wants to develop but then
development comes with a cost a debt of a country is typically passed on to future
Generations when a government incurs debt it essentially borrows money that will
need to be repaid with interest over a specified period suppose if the debt is
not fully repaid during the current generation's time the responsibility to
repay the remaining debt falls on future Generations it is plain and simple, every
country needs to develop at its own pace just looking at another country you cannot
rush with your development idea if you study the economy of Japan it is a
perfect case study that will tell you that Japan's desire for Rapid development
and economic growth has played a significant role in its high national debt so
now that you have understood United States has the highest national debt in the
world now what happened is that this year in January the United States has
reached its debt ceiling reaching the debt ceiling refers to a situation when a
country's government has reached the maximum amount of debt it is legally
allowed to borrow basically a debt ceiling is a limit set by legislation that
determines the maximum level of debt a government can incur otherwise if there
is no such legislation then the government of a country will not have any limit
on borrowing and that can make the entire country go bankrupt similar to what
is happening to Pakistan right now as you know every four years a newly elected
government has the authority to govern United States of America and raise funds
within a certain limit to implement its schemes and policies therefore the
United States debt ceiling is a legislative limit that determines how much debt
the U.S treasury Department May incur so this year on January 19th the Biden
government has reached that debt ceiling in simple words the Biden government
has spent more than what it has earned basically the government expenditure is
more than the government earnings now suppose, if a government consistently
spends more money than it generates in Revenue then it may need to borrow or
cover the deficit now over time this accumulation of debt can approach or even
breach the predetermined debt ceiling set by legislation now how did this
happen if you look at the debt ceiling legislation it was introduced by the U.S
Congress in 1917 that means in the past hundred years anyone who comes into
power that is the Democratic party or the Republican party they have routinely
increased the debt ceiling through Congress because whenever the U.S treasury
Department could no longer pay the government bills Congress had to act quickly
and increase the limit the United States debt has many times gone up faster
than the debt ceiling therefore this clearly shows that the US government is
constantly borrowing money with absolutely no regard for what it can possibly
lead to then this year in Jan 2023 again the U.S national debt reached the debt
ceiling
Debt Ceiling and Its Impact on U.S Economy
This
time it was under the presidency of Joe Biden you have to go back to last year
which is in 2022 when this Russia Ukraine conflict started and the United
States government which is Joe Biden's government the Democratic party they
were spending money like water giving Aid and military equipment to Ukraine
almost $80 billion were spent on Ukraine (this is BBC's report)
there are other reports that suggest till now the United States has allocated
nearly $150 billion in support of Ukraine whatever may be the right
figure but the point is this kind of excessive and unnecessary spending then
printing money whenever they want and this way of rapidly reaching the debt
ceiling limit will lead to increased borrowing costs for businesses and
homeowners and that will lead to drop in consumer confidence that could shock
the U.S financial market and tip the economy into recession and then ultimately
if the U.S economy that is the US dollar goes into recession it will create
havoc on Global Financial markets that is why many countries are promoting the de-dollarization.
Risk of Reaching Debt Ceiling
Many
countries are substituting the US dollar as the currency used for trading oil
and other commodities the dominant role of the dollar in the global economy has
given the United States massive power to influence other countries’ economies
all this while it has given the U.S the power to impose sanctions as a tool to
achieve foreign policy goals this is one reason for de-dollarization.
Secondly,
the United States also has this bad habit of printing money and distributing money
in the form of physical currency such as Bank notes as well as electronically
through various mechanisms including open market operations and lending facilities,
they use this strategy to manage the stability of the economy so even this is a
reason of de-dollarization.
Third
reason is now that we are seeing United States debt is increasing massively
year by year and they are also reaching the debt ceiling limit frequently so
there is a high chance that the US government will default on its debt payment
and the U.S economy will dip into recession anytime and that will definitely
affect the International Financial system the central banks of many countries
are aware of the scenario therefore the smart think that any country's Central
Bank can do is de-dollarize the economy as soon as possible so that by reducing
reliance on the US dollar countries can better prepare themselves for potential
financial crisis.
Urgency for U.S to Solve the Debt Crisis
now
if you see Russian banks have started using the China-based cross-border
interbank payment system for international payments and then China has also
developed this second currency that is Renminbi in 2015 which offers
cleaning and Settlement Services for participants in cross-border Yuan payments
and trade and then if you see BRICS new development Bank it encourages trade
and investment in National currencies by dispersing up to 50 percent of its
loans in National currencies since 2015. After that Asian central banks have
over 400 billion dollar of local currency swap lines and trade amongst
themselves then in July 2022 The Reserve Bank of India unveiled a rupee
settlement system for international trade by allowing special voice through
account in designated Indian Banks it is a step towards internationalizing the
rupee similarly the South African rand is used by several African countries
then the Latin American countries are also moving towards greater
inter-regional trade and then bilateral currency swaps among ASEAN countries
with China Japan and South Korea is also increasing rapidly so steps like this
are being taken by governments of different countries to move away and reduce
dependence on the US dollar.
Closing Thoughts
this is the whole story and this is the reason why U.S President Joe Biden has canceled his visit to Australia for attending this year's QUAD meeting basically he has been forced to turn his attention to domestic politics because now his government has to form an agreement with the Republicans to prevent the United States government from defaulting on its debts at the end of this month well it is also a reminder for the United States that it is high time that they should stop interfering and worrying about what is happening in other countries in the world the United States should instead focus on domestic governance United States is a developed country that possesses Advanced infrastructure technological capabilities and a high standard of living for a significant portion of its population while accumulating debt for domestic development may be deemed justifiable but engaging in Regional politics of different regions in the world also requires Financial resource sources after all to be a leader of geopolitics you need money the country with most money has the power to influence the geopolitics of any region however this influential position comes with a price which is the potential risk of economic instability and currently United States is facing.
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